You might have heard about the new Gallup poll (http://www.gallup.com/poll/109834/Gallup-Daily-Bounce-Obama-Post-Biden-Tracking.aspx) showing McCain leading Obama by 2% today. Well, if you look at a list of the most recent polls (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html,) this is not an anomaly. The 3 most recent polls all show McCain either leading or tied with Obama. I'm guessing this is not the "Convention/Biden/World Tour/Media Hype" bump in the polls the campaign might have been anticipating. With President Bush/VP Cheney preparing to speak next week at the GOP convention, I think the media might be surprised at how well liked both of these speakers will be. Then there is the McCain VP pick. The idea of announcing his pick the same day Obama speaks at the DNC is being floated as a possibility. If McCain nominates someone who draws conservatives, another boost in the polls for McCain would be likely. Stay tuned...
Raymond
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