We are just 2 days away from the election, and there are still many polls showing Obama leading nationally. However, a poll showing just a 2 point lead by Obama just came out. This is after about 4 or 5 polls showed a 3 point lead. Most of those would be within the margins of error. Even so, plenty show bigger leads for Obama. One interesting thing about this new 2 point poll is it is the Investor Business Daily poll. This was the most accurate poll in 2004. If you look at battleground state polling, several of those are getting interesting as well. Take Ohio as an example... the latest Mason/Dixon poll there now has McCain up by 2 points. There have been several polls of Ohio showing a McCain win there. In Florida, while Obama is leading by a few points in many polls, the latest Reuters poll shows a tie. From October 16-22nd, 4 polls showed McCain winning there. I know it has been said several times on the networks that Obama polled better than he performed in several primaries. If this is true for the general election, Tuesday night could be interesting. By the way, most of the polls I'm referring to I found at realclearpolitics.com. You could spend hours there researching polls, if you are bored! Anyone who says this race is over is fooling themselves. For McCain to win on Tuesday night, a lot of things have to go his way. However, if he can just get many of the states to fall the way they did in 2004 for GWBush, he could still pull off a win. We'll see what happens...
Raymond
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